Scoreline Lab is a football analysis tool. We publish independent probability models for upcoming fixtures, designed for fans, fantasy players and free-to-play prediction games. Not a tipster. Not a bookmaker.
We look at how teams have actually been playing, then turn that into a fair estimate for each match. No tipster hunches. No "trust me" guesses.
We work out the average goals each side scores and concedes, at home and away, weighted to recent matches. That gives us a baseline for how the game should flow.
A tap-in counts more than a 30-yard punt. We track the quality of chances each team is creating and conceding, so a team peppering the goal with weak shots doesn't get a false high score.
The model leans on the latest matches, the league table position, and known absences. A side on a run gets a bump. A side missing their main striker gets marked down.
All forecasts are probabilities. A team with a 60% chance of winning will still lose 4 times out of 10. We never claim certainty.
Basic probabilities are free. Pro adds the modelling breakdown: why the numbers landed where they did.